Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.686522 0.880419 1.098590 1.359375 1.659753 1.992160 2.385056
2025-07-06 0.393196 0.623861 0.918848 1.310424 1.803473 2.391382 3.132828
2025-07-13 0.238202 0.474798 0.818699 1.320518 2.000939 2.860713 3.997965
2025-07-20 0.142393 0.366009 0.736992 1.328455 2.183782 3.317410 4.874321
2025-07-27 0.076403 0.269286 0.641030 1.290007 2.288158 3.669870 5.631180
2025-08-03 0.038261 0.198302 0.561564 1.254826 2.383187 4.005944 6.375007
2025-08-10 0.019414 0.154991 0.516279 1.262364 2.535387 4.423151 7.240220
2025-08-17 0.007339 0.111900 0.452663 1.221914 2.602170 4.714467 7.936830
2025-08-24 0.003467 0.095656 0.444690 1.281657 2.832914 5.254197 8.998242
2025-08-31 0.000956 0.074162 0.412378 1.285512 2.966389 5.649729 9.862556
2025-09-07 0.000320 0.066707 0.417833 1.367643 3.238898 6.266547 11.062669
2025-09-14 0.000042 0.057089 0.411420 1.421774 3.463308 6.814551 12.174127
2025-09-21 NaN 0.045484 0.392176 1.446012 3.639432 7.300315 13.218864
2025-09-28 NaN 0.031676 0.352583 1.414239 3.708540 7.617498 14.021424
2025-10-05 NaN 0.024395 0.335729 1.434968 3.877152 8.100310 15.084550
2025-10-12 NaN 0.018233 0.317737 1.448622 4.031263 8.562582 16.125120
2025-10-19 NaN 0.011414 0.283735 1.410475 4.077973 8.845968 16.895917
2025-10-26 NaN 0.006722 0.253349 1.374413 4.123964 9.127068 17.666870
2025-11-02 NaN 0.004430 0.238907 1.383137 4.262434 9.568585 18.695725
2025-11-09 NaN 0.002116 0.210881 1.340412 4.286624 9.811599 19.415178
2025-11-16 NaN 0.001683 0.214012 1.404230 4.546110 10.471855 20.807253
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000889 0.201134 1.408432 4.673158 10.901262 21.837678
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000799 0.210437 1.495874 4.991038 11.675952 23.432352